Статья: RISK ASSESSMENT MODEL FOR INNOVATIVE PROJECTS BASED ON FUZZY SETS AND BAYESIAN NETWORKS (2024)

The purpose of this study is to consider the phenomenon of ‘capital flight’ as a threat to the economic security of the country. This goal is achieved using general scientific methods, including analysis and synthesis, induction and deduction, abstraction, systematisation, and comparison. The study highlights the differences between the concepts of ‘capital outflow’ and ‘capital flight’, assesses the scale of capital flight and outflow, analyses the causes of these phenomena, and explicates the goals of capital flight. One of the causes of capital flight, namely tax evasion, is specified. The findings underscore the main directions of the impact of capital flight on the economic security of the country, and key measures to combat capital flight are proposed.

The complicated geopolitical situation has become a factor in domestic tourism development in the Russian Federation. A significant number of objects of tourist interest have generated increased competition between Russian regions to attract tourists. A necessary condition for increasing tourist flow is the development of tourist infrastructure, including transport. The authors used various types of transport in the vast majority formation of tourist products, as well as in independent tourism. The purpose of this study is to analyse the relationships between tourist flow dynamics and the transportation system development indexes of St. Petersburg and the Leningrad region. Comparative, correlation and regression analyses showed a strong positive correlation between tourist flow and passenger transport by buses and suburban railway transport (especially in St. Petersburg). The study confirmed the problem of data reliability and availability for analysing tourist flow within the St. Petersburg agglomeration, although the palace suburbs, which are popular with tourists, are located within agglomeration boundaries. To solve the problem of tracking tourist flows when using transport in the agglomeration, the authors propose the development and implementation of a transport tourist map with advanced functionality. This digital tool application will allow not only the reliable tracking of tourist flows but also the optimization of the transport system of the St. Petersburg agglomeration. In addition, the analysis of tourist flow dynamics should be used to increase the positive effects of tourism development and reduce the negative effects of overtourism in achieving the sustainable development goals of St. Petersburg and the Leningrad region.

This research focused on the quality assessment of national project management in the Russian Federation as one of the most significant tools aimed at implementing an effective policy for socioeconomic development. The hypothesis was that increased investment in national programmes and their prioritisation in the framework of public administration could improve socioeconomic development in Russia. The human development index (HDI), which directly assesses the level of human development in different countries based on indicators such as life expectancy, education, and well-being, shows this level. This research aimed to assess the efficiency of Russian socioeconomic programmes based on an independent analysis of the HDI. The authors highlight the urgent need for improvement and articulate the range of potential challenges and solutions through a statistical analysis of the correlation between the HDI and indicators of project management costs in Russia and a regression evaluation of project implementation indicators. When implemented, these recommendations can improve the spending efficiency of federal funds, estimated at 8.5 trillion rubles, as well as regional and local funds allocated for executing national projects

The Russian economic space is characterised by a significant differentiation in the levels of socioeconomic development of the country’s various regions, which manifests itself in natural, territorial, socio-cultural, economic, political and other aspects. The results of socio-economic differentiation are unique regional socio-economic systems, which necessitates the formation of individual approaches to managing their development. Therefore, management decisions made at the federal centre, as well as by regional authorities, affect the activities of economic entities in the regions and the population’s level of well-being in different ways. Social security is an integral element of the high quality of life of the population and is largely the basis for improving the economic status of the region, increasing the value of human capital. Thus, it is necessary to develop methods and tools for ensuring the social safe development of regional socio-economic systems, considering the specific characteristics of each region. From these perspectives, we can discuss the stability and social performance of the regional economy. Despite a broad scientific background, the factors contributing to the development and the results of regional socio-economic systems, considering the need for social security, have not been examined. The present research aims to fill this gap by developing a management model for the social and safe development of Russia’s regions, using the city of St Petersburg as the case study