Современная геополитическая картина мира стала для многих стран серьезным вызовом. Помимо множества различных турбулентных явлений, в глобальной экономике текущего периода можно также наблюдать изменения в логистических и транспортных путях между странами. Наряду со сменой ролей, борьбой за различные геополитические интересы, вопросы транспортных коммуникаций и возможностей стран с точки зрения транзита выходят на первый план. Проблема развития транспортных логистических путей для Армении стала еще более насущной и требующей незамедлительного решения. Ключевой целью исследования стала оценка возможностей транспортной логистики Армении с точки зрения ее взаимодействия как со странами ЕАЭС, так и с третьими странами, в том числе в ракурсе расширения реэкспорта последние несколько лет. Методология исследования основана на анализе влияния транспортных коммуникаций на экономическое развитие и благосостояние Армении. Использованы методы качественного и статистического анализа, а также наблюдение и синтез. Информационная база включает статистику грузоперевозок и товарной структуры торговли Армении с ЕАЭС и третьими странами. В результате выявлено, что существующая транспортная логистическая система Армении слабо развита и существенно тормозит развитие экономического потенциала страны. Основным выводом исследования стал тезис о необходимости развития логистических транспортных систем, с целью положительного воздействия на экономический рост и развития Армении в долгосрочной перспективе.
The main objective of this study is to examine the influence of the transport system on CO2 emission levels. To achieve this goal, first, identify existing interrelationships between transport performance indicators and CO2 emissions was established, and the direction and degree of impact of significant performance indicators of the transport system on emissions were assessed. Next, based on analysis and synthesis of the literature - both domestic and foreign - factors that have the greatest influence on the level of CO2 emissions were identified and systematized. Assuming that there are causal relationships between the amount of CO2 emissions and the performance of the transport system, three hypotheses were put forward. To test the hypotheses, two models - end-to-end regression and regressions with effects - were considered to characterize the dependence of CO2 emissions on transport system performance. Model testing was conducted to choose the best model for analysis. It was found that the fixed-effects regression model is preferable to the random-effects and end-to-end regression models with regard to identifying and assessing the transport system indicators that can be managed to improve environmental conditions in various regions of the Russian Federation.
This study examines the role of government subsidies and private sector lending in stimulating China’s economic growth while assessing the prospects for expanding the social credit system. This study covers the period from 1990 to 2023 and is based on data from the National Bureau of Statistics of China, the World Bank and the International Monetary Fund. The paper applies theoretical analysis, as well as correlation and regression methods, to assess the long-term impact of various types of subsidies on macroeconomic indicators. The article examines theoretical models describing the relationship between social subsidies and economic growth and analyzes government subsidy programs. Special attention is given to the analysis of the social credit system, which evaluates the behavior of citizens and organizations, encouraging compliance with laws and regulations to enhance social stability and predictability in economic agents’ behavior. The findings demonstrate significant correlations between the volume of social subsidies and economic growth, indicating that social subsidies encourage household spending. However, the long-term effectiveness of subsidies in increasing productivity and innovation remains limited. In conclusion, it is noted that there is a need to improve the mechanisms for distributing subsidies and integrating the social credit system in order to achieve more effective economic growth, taking into account the need to maintain social stability in Chinese society.
Mining and metallurgical companies (MMCs), as budget-forming and city-forming enterprises, have an impact on related sectors of the economy and are also affected by changes in other industries. In particular, MMCs are exposed to imbalances from structural crises. The article systematises the types of economic crises, substantiates their significance, and highlights relevant features. A pertinent observation is the increasing role of the risk management system as part of the effective management of the whole enterprise. To promptly respond to external challenges, MMCs must transform internal corporate risk management systems. We propose that such a transformation requires the implementation of a risk control system (RC) based on an integration approach. We present an RC system that involves step-by-step and coordinated risk management and business processes of the MMC. To this end, we formulate the requirements for developing a risk management system, considering the specifics of the MMC and the features of structural crises. We then develop the structural and logical schema of the RC system. This scheme is decomposed and divided into procedures to demonstrate the interaction between the enterprise management system and the risk management system. Some advantages of the proposed RC system include its integration approach and the underlying principles of balance, interconnection, and coordination, which provide connectivity with the company’s corporate management system and allow the consideration of the impact of structural crises and other factors through benchmarks comprising risk factors.
Allocation of operations to work centers is a key management task in modern production systems. Its relevance stems from the need to optimize the use of limited resources to achieve high efficiency and productivity. However, the problem is complicated by the combinatorial complexity associated with the discrete nature of operations and the need to consider multiple factors, including resource constraints, time constraints, and process requirements. This requires specialized approaches to find efficient solutions. This paper is devoted to analyzing such approaches. The paper considers actual problems of optimization of operations distribution to work centers in modern production systems. Particular attention is paid to the problems of minimizing variable costs associated with the changeover of equipment and increasing the overall efficiency of production processes. The paper considers the limitations of classical optimization methods such as linear programming, a review of modern approaches, including combinatorial algorithms, methods of the theory of schedules. Special attention is paid to heuristic algorithms, such as genetic algorithms, simulated annealing, and ant algorithms, which allow us to find acceptable solutions in a short time. The paper also discusses the key factors affecting the scheduling, such as resource constraints, time constraints, and technological requirements. Considering the conditions of the production problem posed in the paper problem and based on analyzing the advantages and disadvantages of existing methods of its solution, as an alternative it is proposed and substantiated the use of multi-agent approach with the application of heuristic algorithms for the distribution of work operations at production enterprises.
The purpose of this study is to consider the phenomenon of ‘capital flight’ as a threat to the economic security of the country. This goal is achieved using general scientific methods, including analysis and synthesis, induction and deduction, abstraction, systematisation, and comparison. The study highlights the differences between the concepts of ‘capital outflow’ and ‘capital flight’, assesses the scale of capital flight and outflow, analyses the causes of these phenomena, and explicates the goals of capital flight. One of the causes of capital flight, namely tax evasion, is specified. The findings underscore the main directions of the impact of capital flight on the economic security of the country, and key measures to combat capital flight are proposed.
The complicated geopolitical situation has become a factor in domestic tourism development in the Russian Federation. A significant number of objects of tourist interest have generated increased competition between Russian regions to attract tourists. A necessary condition for increasing tourist flow is the development of tourist infrastructure, including transport. The authors used various types of transport in the vast majority formation of tourist products, as well as in independent tourism. The purpose of this study is to analyse the relationships between tourist flow dynamics and the transportation system development indexes of St. Petersburg and the Leningrad region. Comparative, correlation and regression analyses showed a strong positive correlation between tourist flow and passenger transport by buses and suburban railway transport (especially in St. Petersburg). The study confirmed the problem of data reliability and availability for analysing tourist flow within the St. Petersburg agglomeration, although the palace suburbs, which are popular with tourists, are located within agglomeration boundaries. To solve the problem of tracking tourist flows when using transport in the agglomeration, the authors propose the development and implementation of a transport tourist map with advanced functionality. This digital tool application will allow not only the reliable tracking of tourist flows but also the optimization of the transport system of the St. Petersburg agglomeration. In addition, the analysis of tourist flow dynamics should be used to increase the positive effects of tourism development and reduce the negative effects of overtourism in achieving the sustainable development goals of St. Petersburg and the Leningrad region.
This research focused on the quality assessment of national project management in the Russian Federation as one of the most significant tools aimed at implementing an effective policy for socioeconomic development. The hypothesis was that increased investment in national programmes and their prioritisation in the framework of public administration could improve socioeconomic development in Russia. The human development index (HDI), which directly assesses the level of human development in different countries based on indicators such as life expectancy, education, and well-being, shows this level. This research aimed to assess the efficiency of Russian socioeconomic programmes based on an independent analysis of the HDI. The authors highlight the urgent need for improvement and articulate the range of potential challenges and solutions through a statistical analysis of the correlation between the HDI and indicators of project management costs in Russia and a regression evaluation of project implementation indicators. When implemented, these recommendations can improve the spending efficiency of federal funds, estimated at 8.5 trillion rubles, as well as regional and local funds allocated for executing national projects
The Russian economic space is characterised by a significant differentiation in the levels of socioeconomic development of the country’s various regions, which manifests itself in natural, territorial, socio-cultural, economic, political and other aspects. The results of socio-economic differentiation are unique regional socio-economic systems, which necessitates the formation of individual approaches to managing their development. Therefore, management decisions made at the federal centre, as well as by regional authorities, affect the activities of economic entities in the regions and the population’s level of well-being in different ways. Social security is an integral element of the high quality of life of the population and is largely the basis for improving the economic status of the region, increasing the value of human capital. Thus, it is necessary to develop methods and tools for ensuring the social safe development of regional socio-economic systems, considering the specific characteristics of each region. From these perspectives, we can discuss the stability and social performance of the regional economy. Despite a broad scientific background, the factors contributing to the development and the results of regional socio-economic systems, considering the need for social security, have not been examined. The present research aims to fill this gap by developing a management model for the social and safe development of Russia’s regions, using the city of St Petersburg as the case study
With the rapidly changing economic environment and inherent market conditions, risk assessment is becoming a major priority for companies involved in innovative projects. Innovative projects are characterized by great uncertainty and their success largely depends on a variety of factors. To improve the quality of risk assessment for such projects, it is essential that you use methods that consider the complex relationships between many variables. This paper suggests a model based on fuzzy sets and Bayesian networks that allows you to effectively analyse and manage the risks of innovative projects. Using fuzzy sets can help you take into account the uncertainty in the data and work with fuzzy information, which is of prime importance, as there are a lot of diverse data that must be considered in innovative projects. With Bayesian networks, you can model probabilistic relationships between risks and project factors, which gives you a more accurate idea of potential risks and helps you predict possible scenarios for the project. Our model represents an innovative approach to assessing the risks of innovative projects and contributes to more effective risk management and informed decision-making in the case of complex projects. It can also facilitate sustainable development of the innovation sector and increase the competitiveness of companies due to the more efficient use of resources and a higher probability of successful innovative initiatives in the long run
Innovation processes are strongly in uenced by changes in economic, political, technological and other external factors. For instance, economic instability and political uncertainty can both stimulate and limit innovative activity in organisations. Transmodern innovation is a concept that involves scienti c and technological advancements that may remain unutilised until favourable changes occur in technological or economic conditions. The purpose of this study is to develop a conceptual model for transmodern innovation that takes into account the dynamics of innovation, including the intensity, economic prerequisites, external changes and degree of innovation adaptation. This model will help organisations to better understand and respond to the complexities of the innovation process. The resulting model is a comprehensive tool for analysing changes in innovation activity and the external environment over di erent time phases, including the initial state (t0), the transition to new conditions (t1) and the nal state (tx). In this model, the ‘Final stage of tx’ block represents the nal stage, which allows us to draw conclusions about the success of adaptation and innovation development. This is the basis for formulating strategic conclusions and recommendations for future development.
This article analyses the sustainability of China’s economic growth in light of global challenges, focusing on macroeconomic changes in recent decades and their impact on the country’s economy. The study covers the period 1962-2022 and uses data from various sources, including the World Bank, International Monetary Fund, Organisation for Economic Cooperation and Development, and national statistical data from the People’s Republic of China. Correlation analysis methods are used to assess the impact of socio-economic indicators on economic growth, revealing signi cant correlations between gross domestic product and various indicators such as external debt, urbanisation, technological development, and the standard of living. The main conclusion of the analysis is that economic diversi cation and investment in high-tech industries are crucial for maintaining sustainable growth in China. The ndings indicate the need for future research assessing the potential for reducing the environmental impact of industrialisation and improving social policies in a changing global economy.
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