EISSN 2782-6333

Язык: en

Статья: AGRO-INDUSTRIAL COMPLEX SUSTAINABILITY IN THE EURASIAN ECONOMIC UNION COUNTRIES: THE ASPECT OF FOOD SECURITY (2024)

Читать

Читать онлайн

This article analyses the sustainability of the agro-industrial complex (AIC) in the Eurasian Economic Union (EAEU) countries with an emphasis on food security. The study covers challenges and threats to food security in Russia, Belarus, Armenia, Kazakhstan, and Kyrgyzstan, given the difficult geopolitical situation. The article examines data from the national statistical services of the EAEU countries, as well as international sources such as the FAO and the World Bank. Correlation and cluster analysis approaches are applied to assess the impact of socioeconomic indicators on the sustainability of the AIC. Significant correlations between indicators of food security and such factors as the volume of agricultural production, investments in the agricultural sector, the level of technological development, and government support are revealed. On average, for the period from 2015 to 2022, the added value of agriculture amounted to 8.2% of GDP, and the food production index was 104.1. The results of the cluster analysis showed that the EAEU countries can be grouped by levels of agricultural development and food security. Thus, K-means and GMM identified three clusters in which Russia found itself both in a separate cluster and in combination with other countries. Agglomerative and spectral clustering also showed similar results, distinguishing three main groups of countries. The average silhouette coefficient for agglomerative and spectral clustering was 0.41, which indicates a better clustering quality compared to K-means and GMM (0.38). It is confirmed that integration and coordination of efforts within the EAEU, as well as diversification of agricultural production and increased investment in innovation, determine the state of sustainability of the agro-industrial complex.

Ключевые фразы: agro-industrial complex sustainability, food security, eaeu, agriculture, cluster analysis, correlation analysis, agricultural sector investments, production diversi cation

Автор (ы): Казарян Эдуард, Алексанян Илона

Журнал: SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT AND ENGINEERING ECONOMICS

Предпросмотр статьи

Идентификаторы и классификаторы

УДК: 338.43. Экономика сельского хозяйства. Продовольственный комплекс

Для цитирования:

КАЗАРЯН Э., АЛЕКСАНЯН И. AGRO-INDUSTRIAL COMPLEX SUSTAINABILITY IN THE EURASIAN ECONOMIC UNION COUNTRIES: THE ASPECT OF FOOD SECURITY // SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT AND ENGINEERING ECONOMICS. 2024. № 2 (12)

Текстовый фрагмент статьи

Моя история просмотров (10)

01. Статья: ЕВРОПЕЙСКАЯ ИДЕНТИЧНОСТЬ В ТРУДАХ Ю. ХАБЕРМАСА

02. Статья: ОБУЧЕНИЕ ЮРИДИЧЕСКОМУ АНГЛИЙСКОМУ ПРИ ИЗУЧЕНИИ МИРОВОЙ СУДЕБНОЙ ПРАКТИКИ В ХОДЕ РАЗВИТИЯ ТРУДОВЫХ ФУНКЦИЙ ЮРИСТА

03. Статья: ВЛИЯНИЕ ЦИФРОВИЗАЦИИ НА РАЗВИТИЕ АУДИТА

04. Статья: Образовательный ландшафт в медиапространстве: методология картирования и описания

05. Статья: ЗАЩИТА ПРАВА ДЕТЕЙ-МИГРАНТОВ НА ОБРАЗОВАНИЕ

06. Статья: СОКРАЩЕНИЕ ПРОДОВОЛЬСТВЕННЫХ ПОТЕРЬ КАК ИНСТРУМЕНТ УПРАВЛЕНИЯ ЭКОНОМИЧЕСКИМ И СОЦИАЛЬНЫМ РАЗВИТИЕМ

07. Статья: АНТИМОНОПОЛЬНОЕ РЕГУЛИРОВАНИЕ ЦИФРОВЫХ РЫНКОВ В РОССИЙСКОЙ ФЕДЕРАЦИИ

08. Статья: ИЗОБРЕТЕНИЕ ЭЛЕКТРОННОГО ЛАМПОВОГО УСИЛИТЕЛЯ ЗВУКОВОЙ ЧАСТОТЫ

09. Статья: ПРОБЛЕМНЫЕ ВОПРОСЫ ОБРАЩЕНИЯ ВЗЫСКАНИЯ ПРИ ЗАДОЛЖЕННОСТИ ПО ИПОТЕКЕ В РАМКАХ ИСПОЛНИТЕЛЬНОГО ПРОИЗВОДСТВА

10. Статья: АНАЛИЗ МЕТОДИЧЕСКИХ ПОДХОДОВ К УПРАВЛЕНИЮ ЛИКВИДНОСТЬЮ АКТИВОВ ДЛЯ ЭКОНОМИЧЕСКИХ ОБЪЕКТОВ РАЗЛИЧНОГО МАСШТАБА

Список литературы

1. Adelaja, A. and George, J. (2021) ‘Food and agricultural security: an introduction to the special issue’, Sustainability, 13(21), p. 12129. DOI: 10.3390/su132112129 EDN: CZCSJX

2. Alekseeva, I.A., Trofimova, N.N. (2017) ‘Methodological aspects of innovative management of human capital in the higher education system’, Actual Problems of Economics and Management, 2, pp. 29-33.
3. Amirova, E. F., Zolkin, A. L., Chistyakov, M. S. (2021) ‘Digital segment of the agro-industrial sector development as a factor in food security of the Russian Federation’, in Innovative development of the agro-industrial complex of the Baikal region: conference materials, pp. 94-99. EDN: UXXQSC

4. Antamoshkina, E.N. (2019) ‘Economic and mathematical modeling of food security in Russian regions’, Scientific and Technical Bulletin of SPbGPU. Economic Sciences, 5, pp. 209-217.
5. Antamoshkina, E.N. (2019) ‘Model of economic and statistical assessment of food supply’, Bulletin of NGIEI, 8, pp. 86-94. EDN: BBMHJO

6. Arskiy, A. and Khudzhatov, M. (2021) ‘Improvement of the Food Security Status of the Eurasian Economic Union Countries Through Customs Regulation of Meat and Dairy Trade’, in Erokhin, V., Tianming, G. and Andrei, J.V. (eds) Shifting Patterns of Agricultural Trade. Springer, pp. 393-414.
7. Borodenko, M. (2023). The Food Crisis Will not Affect the EAEU Countries. Moscow: IA-CENTR.
8. Dmitriev, N.D. (2020) ‘The use of promising innovative technologies in agriculture’, in Information Technologies in Education and Agricultural Production: Proceedings of the III International Scientific and Practical Conference, pp. 40-44. EDN: GOKIBJ

9. Dmitriev, N.D., Rogozina, E.A. (2020) ‘Application of innovative technologies in food enterprises’, Bulletin of the University, 7, pp. 36-44. DOI: 10.26425/1816-4277-2020-7-36-44 EDN: JVBBOW

10. Dmitriev, N.D., Zaytsev, A.A. (2019) ‘The use of the rent approach to geo-economic integration of the national economy’, in Current Problems of Modern Science: State, Development Trends: Proceedings of the III All-Russian Scientific and Practical Conference. pp. 118-121.
11. Dmitriev, N.D., Zaytsev, A.A. (2020) ‘Rent approach to geo-economic integration of the national economy’, in Fundamental and Applied Aspects of Economic Globalization: Proceedings of the International Scientific Conference of Students and Young Scientists. pp. 229-232.
12. Dragneva, R. (2022) ‘Russia’s agri-food trade within the Eurasian Economic Union’, in Wegren, S. K., Nilssen, F. (eds) Russia’s Role in the Contemporary International Agri-Food Trade System. Cham: Palgrave Macmillan, pp. 225-251. DOI: 10.1007/978-3-030-77451-6_9

13. Ergunova, A.Yu., Simagina, A.A. (2023) ‘Tourism sector in conditions of uncertainty: trends and development forecasts’, in Scientific Community of Students of the XXI Century. Economic Sciences: Collection of Articles from the CXXX Student International Scientific and Practical Conference. pp. 26-32.
14. Galiev, R. R. and Ahrens, H. D. (2021) ‘Determinants of Food Self-sufficiency in Russia and Food Security’, Studies on Russian Economic Development, 32(3), pp. 254-262. DOI: 10.1134/S1075700721030059 EDN: ZEIMDD

15. Glotova, I.S. (2014) ‘Ensuring food security in the Eurasian Economic Union’, Education, Science, and Production, 9(4), pp. 62-64. EDN: VSCADF

16. Götz, L., Heigermoser, M. and Jaghdani, T. J. (2022) ‘Russia’s food security and impact on agri-food trade’, in Wegren S. K., and Nilssen F (eds) Russia’s Role in the Contemporary International Agri-Food Trade System. Cham: Palgrave Macmillan, pp. 115-137. DOI: 10.1007/978-3-030-77451-6_5

17. Gusev, M. S. (2023) ‘Strategy of Economic Development up to 2035: Overcoming Long-Term Stagnation’, Studies on Russian Economic Development, 34(2), pp. 167-175. DOI: 10.1134/s107570072302003x EDN: GVAUYR

18. Gusev, M. S. (2023). ‘Russia’s Economic Development Strategy 2035: Ways to Overcome Long-term Stagnation’, Forecasting Problems, 2(197), pp. 18-29. DOI: 10.47711/0868-6351-197-18-29 EDN: MUWEKT

19. Haji, M. and Himpel, F. (2024) ‘Building resilience in food security: sustainable strategies post-COVID-19’, Sustainability, 16(3), p. 995. DOI: 10.3390/su16030995 EDN: KUTKDK

20. Iashina, E., Evgrafova, L., Dzhancharova, G., Ukolova, A. and Kovaleva, E. (2023) ‘Analysis of the dynamics of food security in the countries of the Eurasian Economic Union’, Frontiers in Sustainable Food Systems, 7. DOI: 10.3389/fsufs.2023.1114469

21. Ilchenko, S.V., Dubanevich, L.E., Kubarsky, A.V. (2020) ‘Prospects for the use of intellectual capital in domestic agribusiness’, Modern Economy Success, 6, pp. 237-243. EDN: HQRSVQ

22. Kamalyan, A.K. (2022) ‘Food security in the Eurasian Economic Union: problems and solutions’, Education, Science, and Production, 4, pp. 12-20. DOI: 10.32651/224-12 EDN: IBVYXU

23. Kazaryan, E. S. (2017) ‘Issues of development of the agro-industrial complex of Armenia in the context of the republic’s membership in the Eurasian Economic Union’, in Economic and legal aspects of the implementation of Russia’s modernization strategy: search for an effective socio-economic development model: collection of articles of the international scientific and practical conference. pp. 88-92.
24. Kazaryan, E.S., Aleksanyan, V.S., Kazaryan, A.V. and Aleksanyan, I.Z. (2022) ‘Study of factors influencing the Logistics Performance Index ranking in the EAEU countries and Armenia’, in Konstantinidi, Kh.A., Sorokozherdiev, V.V. and Agazaryan, N.V. (eds) Global Transformation and Sustainability of the Modern Russian Economy: Proceedings of the International Scientific and Practical Conference. pp. 131-137.
25. Ksenofontov, M.Yu., Polzikov, D.A. (2020) ‘Methodological aspects of developing the concept of collective food security in the EAEU’, Problems of Forecasting, 5(182).
26. Ksenofontov, M.Yu., Polzikov, D.A. and Urus, A.V. (2020) ‘Scenarios for the development of the EAEU agri-food market in the long term’, Problems of Forecasting, 183(6), pp. 154-171. EDN: MLVJYP

27. Kusainova, A.B., Baigot, M.S. and Glotova, I.S. (2020) ‘Food security in the Eurasian Economic Union’, Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of Belarus. Agrarian series, 58(4), pp. 397-414. DOI: 10.29235/1817-7204-2020-58-4-397-414 EDN: AHPOLH

28. Lukina, S.G., Sadykov, A.A. and Faizullin, R.V. (2023) ‘Models of Optimization in the SCM System: Advanced Supply Chain Management’, Bulletin of the University, 8, pp. 116-127. EDN: OJMHCN

29. Maslova, V., Zaruk, N., Fuchs, C. and Avdeev, M. (2019) ‘Competitiveness of Agricultural Products in the Eurasian Economic Union’, Agriculture, 9(3), p. 61. DOI: 10.3390/agriculture9030061

30. Ogannisyan, A. Ts. and Kazaryan, E. S. (2020) ‘Some issues of solving the main problems of industrialization in the field of agriculture of the Republic of Armenia’, Epomen, 39, pp. 95-102. EDN: DMUGAS

31. Pilipuk, A.V., et al. (2022) Problems and Prospects for the Development of Competition in the Food and Agricultural Markets of the EAEU in the Context of Digitalization and the Influence of Global Trends. Part 2: Proposals for the Development of Competition in Food Markets within the EAEU. Minsk: Institute of Systemic Studies in Agro-Industrial Complex of the National Academy of Sciences of Belarus.
32. Polzikov, D.A. (2020) ‘Current state of food security in the EAEU countries’, ECO, 6(552), pp. 67-86. DOI: 10.30680/ECO0131-7652-2020-6-67-86

33. Shoba, S.A., Romashkin, R.A., Rybalsky, N.G. et al. (2023) Food systems and adaptation policies of Eurasian states in new economic conditions: collective monograph. Moscow: NIA-Priroda.
34. Sigarev, M.I., Narynbaeva, A.S. (2015) ‘Stimulating agricultural production based on innovative development: experience of foreign countries’, Bulletin of the Altai State Agrarian University, 9(131), pp. 156-160. EDN: UIWGVR

35. Sorokozherdyev, V.V., Dmitriev, N.D., Zaytsev, A.A. (2023) ‘The possibility of using the resource potential of regions to achieve sustainable development’, in Industrial, Innovative and Financial Development of Russia: Factors and Trends: Collection of Articles of the All-Russian Scientific and Practical Conference of Students and Young Scientists. pp. 179-183.
36. Stone, J. and Rahimifard, S. (2018) ‘Resilience in agri-food supply chains: a critical analysis of the literature and synthesis of a novel framework’, Supply Chain Management, 23(3), pp. 207-238. DOI: 10.1108/SCM-06-2017-0201 EDN: VFLNFA

37. Trofimova, N.N., Chichenkov, I.I., Domaratskaya, E.A. (2020) ‘Development of agriculture in conditions of economic instability’, Modern Economy Success, 6, pp. 260-266. EDN: VHGTWI

38. Vakhrusheva, E.N., Chichenkov, I.I. and Kubarsky, A.V. (2021) ‘Building a model for managerial decision-making in agriculture’, Epomen, 52, pp. 41-48. EDN: VVAMNU

39. van Wassenaer, L., Oosterkamp, E., van Asseldonk, M. et al. (2021) ‘Food system resilience: ontology development and impossible trinities’, Agric & Food Secur, 10, p. 38. DOI: 10.1186/s40066-021-00332-7 EDN: EIXCYS

40. Vinokurov, E., Ahunbaev, A., Chuyev, S., Usmanov, N., Zaboev, A., Malakhov, A., Pereboev, V., Ksenofontov, M., Polzikov, D., Potapenko, V. and Shalimov, V. (2023) Food Security and Agro-Industrial Potential of the Eurasian Region. Reports and Working Papers 23/1. Almaty: Eurasian Development Bank.
41. Zaytsev, A., Dmitriev, N., Sebbaggala, T. (2022) ‘Economic aspects of green energy development in the context of maintaining strategic sustainability and environmental conservation’, IOP Conference Series: Earth and Environmental Science, 1111(1), p. 012080. DOI: 10.1088/1755-1315/1111/1/012080 EDN: LFBOTA

42. Zaytsev, A., Pak, Kh.S., Elkina, O., Tarasova, T., Dmitriev, N. (2021) ‘Economic security and innovative component of a region: a comprehensive assessment’, Sustainable Development and Engineering Economics, 2, pp. 58-78. EDN: FPZLOG

43. Zaytsev, A.A., Dmitriev, N.D. and Rodionov, D.G. (2024) ‘Tools for diagnosing food security as part of its resource potential’, International Agricultural Journal, 2(398), pp. 144-148. DOI: 10.55186/25876740_2024_67_2_144 EDN: QEBCJW

44. Zhiltsov, S.A., Afanasyev, A.A., Melekhina, P.Yu. (2022) ‘Methodology for the implementation of social and state-significant investment projects’, Management Accounting, 8-2, pp. 185-195.
45. Zueva, O.N., Donskova, L.A., Nabokov, V.I., Potehin, N.A., Nekrasov, K.V. (2016) ‘Food policy of the Eurasian Economic Union in the conditions of logistical integration’, AVU, 11(153), pp. 92-98.

Выпуск

№ 2 (12) (2024)

Кол-во страниц: 90 страниц

Другие статьи выпуска

A CONCEPTUAL MODEL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF TRANSMODERN INNOVATIONS (2024)

Авторы: Борзов Александр

Innovation processes are strongly in uenced by changes in economic, political, technological and other external factors. For instance, economic instability and political uncertainty can both stimulate and limit innovative activity in organisations. Transmodern innovation is a concept that involves scienti c and technological advancements that may remain unutilised until favourable changes occur in technological or economic conditions. The purpose of this study is to develop a conceptual model for transmodern innovation that takes into account the dynamics of innovation, including the intensity, economic prerequisites, external changes and degree of innovation adaptation. This model will help organisations to better understand and respond to the complexities of the innovation process. The resulting model is a comprehensive tool for analysing changes in innovation activity and the external environment over di erent time phases, including the initial state (t0), the transition to new conditions (t1) and the nal state (tx). In this model, the ‘Final stage of tx’ block represents the nal stage, which allows us to draw conclusions about the success of adaptation and innovation development. This is the basis for formulating strategic conclusions and recommendations for future development.

Сохранить в закладках

THE SUSTAINABILITY OF CHINA’S ECONOMIC GROWTH IN AN ERA OF GLOBAL TURBULENCE (2024)

Авторы: Фэн Цихан, Дмитриев Николай, Крыжко Дарья, Купоров Юрий

This article analyses the sustainability of China’s economic growth in light of global challenges, focusing on macroeconomic changes in recent decades and their impact on the country’s economy. The study covers the period 1962-2022 and uses data from various sources, including the World Bank, International Monetary Fund, Organisation for Economic Cooperation and Development, and national statistical data from the People’s Republic of China. Correlation analysis methods are used to assess the impact of socio-economic indicators on economic growth, revealing signi cant correlations between gross domestic product and various indicators such as external debt, urbanisation, technological development, and the standard of living. The main conclusion of the analysis is that economic diversi cation and investment in high-tech industries are crucial for maintaining sustainable growth in China. The ndings indicate the need for future research assessing the potential for reducing the environmental impact of industrialisation and improving social policies in a changing global economy.

Сохранить в закладках

INTELLECTUAL CAPITAL IN AGRIBUSINESS: INTEGRATING DIGITAL SOLUTIONS FOR SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT (2024)

Авторы: Алексанян Вардан, Хачатрян Карлен

This article explores the integration of digital solutions to enhance the sustainable development of agribusiness through the activation of the introduction of intellectual capital. The analysis is carried out taking into account various factors affecting yields, such as soil type, fertilizer use, market prices, employee education level, product demand, and automation level. The level of automation, the use of geographic information systems, access to big data, and hours of employee training were chosen as factors of intellectualization. Random forest, ARIMA, SARIMA, and LSTM models were used to predict yields. The data were taken from the statistical portals of Armenia and Georgia (137 observations). The results of the study show that the LSTM model demonstrated the best prediction accuracy with an average absolute error of 8.30 and a standard error of 102.47. The random forest model showed an average absolute error of 24.87 and a standard error of 828.23, while the ARIMA and SARIMA models did not show significant results. The study revealed significant correlations between digital solutions characterizing the level of intellectual capital in agricultural enterprises and agricultural land productivity, including the level of automation and access to big data. Analysis was also conducted on the impact of intellectual capital on the sustainability of agribusiness, including the impact of the level of education and training hours of employees. It is concluded that the integration of innovative technologies, such as big data and automation, contributes to improving the efficiency of agricultural production.

Сохранить в закладках

AN ALGORITHM FOR FORECASTING FUTURE TRENDS (2024)

Авторы: Борзов Александр

The contemporary information landscape is characterised by a huge amount of data available for analysis using a variety of research tools and methods. Considering the limitations of using individual models and methods, it is worth employing an approach that combines functional and logical autoregression methods to conduct a more accurate analysis of trends and topics in the information space. Considering this context, this work aims to develop an algorithm to identify and analyse topics that would be relevant in the future using autoregression methods. The process begins with the quantification and normalisation of data, which significantly affect the quality of analysis. The main focus of this study is to implement the autoregression method to analyse long-term trends and predict future developments in the selected data. The proposed algorithm evaluates the forecast of these future developments and analyses graphical trends, thus conducting a more detailed study and modelling of future data dynamics. The regression coefficient is used as a quality criterion. The algorithm concludes with a polynomial function to help identify topics that will be relevant in the future. Overall, the proposed algorithm can be considered an effective tool for analysing and predicting future trends based on the analysis of historical data, thus contributing to the identification of prospects for technological development.

Сохранить в закладках

Издательство

Издательство: СПбПУ
Регион: Россия, Санкт-Петербург
Почтовый адрес: 195251, г.Санкт-Петербург, ул. Политехническая, дом 29
Юр. адрес: 195251, г.Санкт-Петербург, ул. Политехническая, дом 29
ФИО: Рудской Андрей Иванович (Ректор)
E-mail адрес: office@spbstu.ru
Контактный телефон: +7 (812) 2972077
Сайт: https://spbstu.ru

Все права на тексты и товарные знаки принадлежат их законным владельцам. Подробнее...

Сайт https://scinetwork.ru (далее – сайт) работает по принципу агрегатора – собирает и структурирует информацию из публичных источников в сети Интернет, то есть передает полнотекстовую информацию о товарных знаках в том виде, в котором она содержится в открытом доступе.

Сайт и администрация сайта не используют отображаемые на сайте товарные знаки в коммерческих и рекламных целях, не декларируют своего участия в процессе их государственной регистрации, не заявляют о своих исключительных правах на товарные знаки, а также не гарантируют точность, полноту и достоверность информации.

Все права на товарные знаки принадлежат их законным владельцам!

Сайт носит исключительно информационный характер, и предоставляемые им сведения являются открытыми публичными данными.

Администрация сайта не несет ответственность за какие бы то ни было убытки, возникающие в результате доступа и использования сайта.

Спасибо, понятно.

Наведите камеру на QR-код, чтобы открыть моб. версию страницы.

Авторы

Автор

Казарян Эдуард

Автор

Алексанян Илона