The complex systems
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Throughout the course of whole history, states have been and still are governed by traditions, party programs, and intuitive ideas. But now states life has become so complex, contradictory, and “dynamic” that even the most talented leaders, along with the elite, do not prevent turmoil and bloodshed. This situation is deteriorating beneath our eyes. The transition to scientific-based governance is vital. This paper presents the scientific and methodological support for governance of states. Scientific support includes the overall structure, model, identification, justification, and analysis of decisions, as well as the synthesis of state governance, taking into account traditions, programs, plans, commitments, and other constraints. Governance is implemented by technology operating in a continuous cycle of adaptation to internal and external changes in real time and is ahead of real time. For a particular state (as well as a large administrative entity, firm, etc.) the proposed scientific and methodological support is a reference point that determines the structure, basic parameters and technology of governance. As a result, the ranking of goals, maximization of socio-economic success, and humane resolution of inherent internal and external conflicts on this basis are achieved.
The objective of this work is to identify the features of the development of a complex system of mankind. The opportunities for the actions of people and humanity are included in the model of the system. Social structures as well as the impact of humanity on the environment are excluded from the model.
This article studies the stability of the model depending on the uncertainty of dates. The impact of the driving force on some properties of humankind’s model is considered.
We examined the lack of direct proportionality between the driving force and the increase in the number of resource groups. We also found a prolonged temporary slowdown in the growth of the number of resource groups.
The index of great creativity of mankind is introduced and calculated. The index dynamics indicated that a period of global slowdown in mankind’s creativity happened between 2000 BC and 1500 AD.
The relationship between the history of creativity and the history of events of mankind was examined.
We found that the move of the great creative activity of mankind from Asia to Europe occurred in the first millennium BC. The model also provided an answer to the question if the development of mankind is a directional and controllable process. It has been established that the development of mankind is aimed at expanding the range of opportunities for human actions. This trend has existed since 42000 BC.
This article has an interdisciplinary nature. It addresses issues related to complex systems and driving force, as well as about creativity and humankind’s history.